The market

With the initial BREXIT panic out of the way the UK and EU markets now seem to have settled down and even recovered most of their losses. With the one major exception the Pound Sterling which has declined significantly against the USD.  There may be a shift of capital over the next few months out of Europe generally. This could see capital to flow towards the US over the next year or so while the UK and EU sort themselves out the result of this capital flight could keep both the USD and US equity indexes high.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to keep interest rates on hold at 1.75% however after with the major parties strugged to form a majority after the election there are concerns in the financial markets that this could negatively impact Australia economically over the next 3 or so years.

Silver Prices rising

You will probably have noticed recent price rises in silver, it is suggested that these rises are primarily being driven by Chinese investors trading futures on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. One of the reasons given for the recent 4 times increase in trading activity on this exchange is that silver has been chased after by investors as Brexit raised expectations over concerted efforts by global central banks to cut interest rates further. If these concerns are accurate both Gold and Silver should benefit.

 

It would also appear that economists now believe that the FED will be less likely to increase interest rates further in the near term. This again puts the FED in a position of conflict having to weigh and balance international economic concerns with domestic US economic considerations. This coupled with the US election in November should make for in interesting and volatile end of the year.

Remember also that there will be both German and French general elections in 2017 setting the scene for some major political changes ahead.

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